It does't matter. He is GOING to get, right around $20 million per year.
That's just the current "price" for a QB that fits his profile.
And he's going to get it from the Ravens. Because they are not stupid. And only stupid writers like Peter King, actually entertain the notion that Ozzie Newsome would let him walk because he wants "too much" money.
Was it only me listening to Baltimore owner Steve Bisciotti and trusted GM Ozzie Newsome the other day, thinking they're going to throw the first big changeup into this offseason? Was it only me taking their words and reading resolve in them, and thinking it's actually possible that Joe Flacco could be stolen by a quarterback-needy and starved-for-relevance team like Cleveland?
Listening to Bisciotti and Newsome, you'd be a fool to think it's not possible. Probable? No. But look at the tea leaves.In fact, one could argue he's slightly better than Eli Manning. One behind in the ring category, but so what? If not for two miraculous catches and some other good/dumb luck against the Patriots in those two Super Bowls, we might say about Eli: "Yeah, he's pretty good, BUT HE CAN'T WIN THE BIG ONE!"
If Eli got this much, several years ago, then you can bet Flacco will easily best that contract in just about every meaningful metric: (signing bonus, guaranteed portion, total value, and average).
Here's your relevant snapshots of each guy's statistical resume as a pro. My advice to the Ravens: stop fumbling around your purse looking for coupons and just pay the guy. He's really, really, good.
Eli Manning
Joe Flacco
Hey Czabe,
ReplyDeleteYou can make the case that Flacco and Eli are basically the same guy, but if you look deeper into the stats to really make the $20 million decision.
http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/qb
In almost every category you check, in every year he's played, he's never higher than the 10th best at QB. I don't care if the Ravens pay him, they'll have to deal with the cap issues if any. I personally feel he's getting so much praise and affirmation so that when the top 10 guys come up for contracts again, their payday HAS to be higher.
PS - One thing Flacco really seems to excell at is throwing the ball deep and having his WRs take PI yards. This stat is an eye opener, especially in terms of how much that number had grown league wide over the past several years... I think there is a tactic there that coaches need to exploit more.
I'd still rather have Eli, but the numbers are far more similar than I would have imagined.
ReplyDeleteIf the safety for the Broncos did not make a BONEHEAD play on the ball..... this would not have any space on the great czabe.com website. He would have been (1-1) in the playoffs for 2012 as he typically has been for the previous 4 years. He just has lucky timing for a contract year. Good for him. $cha-ching$
ReplyDeleteActually, if Lee Evans holds the damn ball then Flacco goes to Back to Back Super Bowls. You could argue that if Flacco had been the Ravens QB for the past 10 years, the Ravens could have reached three or more Super Bowls. I compare him more to Kurt Warner, though. And at this point, Dome Divas like Brees and Peyton need to come under more scrutiny...
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